Mandatory hotel quarantines are “ineffective” and should be “eliminated,” says Air Canada in the wake of announcing a $1.3 billion first quarter loss late last week. Moreover, Ottawa needs to develop and communicate a reopening plan to Canadians who want to know how and when they can travel again.
Airline CEO Michael Rousseau says, “After over 14 months of restrictions, Canadians, who we know are eager to travel, want and deserve clear guidelines,” and adds that the company is cautiously optimistic that the country is nearing an “inflection point” with the vaccination rate rising in the middle of a difficult third wave.
In a quarterly conference call, Rousseau also urged Ottawa to ease COVID-19 travel restrictions, including lifting the mandatory three-night stay for anyone flying into the country, stating, “We believe that with a vaccination program now underway nationally, a modified and more relevant approach to testing and quarantine would keep Canadians safe while allowing our country to reopen for international travel.”
Air Canada expects domestic travel will lead its recovery, as was the case in the US, given the strength in demand especially for transcontinental flights despite lockdowns and restrictions.
Peak summer leisure travel in July and August, including to Europe, is expected to be pushed to September and October.
And corporate travel, a key segment for the airline, likely won’t come back until after Labour Day, Air Canada chief commercial officer Lucie Guillemette told analysts.
She said some corporate travel policy restrictions may remain in place as long as employees continue to work from home. “What we’re seeing now, though, is there’s definitely an appetite for corporate Canada to return to travel.”
However, the quarantine requirement is a deterrent and the future of corporate travel could depend on whether there are changes to same-day travel practices.
While corporate travel may come back later than leisure trips, Rousseau says Air Canada believes it will recover in a hybrid office environment that is accompanied by rapid home testing.
The country’s largest airline also says it is seeing strong demand through next winter to Mexico, the Dominican Republic, Hawaii and Florida as Canadians anticipate their first post-pandemic holiday.
Analyst Cameron Doerksen of National Bank Financial expects air traffic will ultimately rebound strongly, but only if restrictions are lifted
“Our near-term caution is rooted in our belief that the Canadian government-imposed air travel restrictions are not set to be materially eased in time to salvage much of the upcoming peak summer travel period,” he wrote in a report.
Last month, Air Canada reached a deal for $5.9 billion in federal aid including money earmarked to help refund customers. However, demand for refunds is slower than expected despite reaching out to customers proactively.
Air Canada said its loss amounted to $3.90 per diluted share for the quarter that ended March 31 compared with a loss of $1 billion or $4.00 per diluted share a year ago when it had fewer shares outstanding.
Revenue in the quarter totalled $729 million, down from $3.7 billion in the first three months of 2020.
The airline plans to approximately double its second quarter capacity from the same quarter in 2020, but says compared with the same period in 2019 that second quarter capacity is expected to be down 84 percent.